The Nigerian National Assembly is currently reviewing a bill that proposes increasing the Value-Added Tax (VAT) from 7.5% to 10% by 2025. This move aims to address the country’s fiscal challenges, including a budget deficit exceeding 4% of GDP.
Key Provisions of the Bill
- Phased VAT Increase: The bill suggests a phased implementation, with VAT rates increasing to:
- 10% by 2025
- 12.5% from 2026 to 2029
- 15% from 2030 onwards
- VAT Coverage: The bill aims to expand VAT coverage to include more goods and services.
- Exemptions: Essential items, such as food, healthcare, and education, may be exempt from VAT increases.
Reactions to the Proposal
- Criticism: Former Vice-President Atiku Abubakar described the proposed VAT hike as “regressive and punitive”, arguing it would burden low-income households.
- Support: Some experts argue that the VAT increase is necessary to address Nigeria’s fiscal challenges and improve revenue generation.
- IMF Recommendation: The International Monetary Fund (IMF) previously advised Nigeria to increase VAT to at least 10% by 2022.
Minister of Finance’s Response
Nigeria’s Minister of Finance, Wale Edun, has denied plans to increase VAT, stating that the current rate remains 7.5%. This conflicting information has sparked debate about the government’s intentions regarding VAT reform.
Implications of VAT Increase
- Increased Revenue: A VAT increase could generate additional revenue for the government.
- Inflationary Pressures: Higher VAT rates could lead to increased prices for goods and services.
- Economic Impact: The VAT increase could affect consumer spending, economic growth, and business operations.
Next Steps
- National Assembly Review: The bill will undergo review and debate in the National Assembly.
- Public Consultations: Stakeholders, including businesses, civil society, and citizens, will be consulted on the proposal.
- Presidential Approval: The bill requires presidential approval to become law.
Timeline
- 2025: Proposed VAT increase to 10%
- 2026-2029: VAT rate increases to 12.5%
- 2030 onwards: VAT rate increases to 15%
The proposed VAT increase has sparked intense debate, highlighting the need for careful consideration of its potential impacts on Nigeria’s economy and citizens.
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